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Al-Shoalah vs Al Najoom Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al-Shoalah
35%
Draws
27%
Al Najoom
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Shoalah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Shoalah lately — more wins on the board than Al Najoom.
  • Win probability leans Al-Shoalah's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al-Shoalah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Najoom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shoalah Al Najoom
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 21
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Division 2
Al-Shoalah vs Al Najoom
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Division 2
Al Najoom vs Al-Shoalah
0:0
Mar 16, 2021 Division 1
Al-Shoalah vs Al Najoom
3:1
Nov 29, 2020 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al-Shoalah
1:1
Jan 28, 2020 Division 1
Al-Shoalah vs Al Najoom
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shoalah 58 / 100
Al Najoom 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shoalah Al Najoom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shoalah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al-Shoalah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al-Shoalah found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Najoom has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shoalah VS Al Najoom
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shoalah

(Home)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Al Entesar
1 : 1
Al-Shoalah
28 Mar
Al-Washm
3 : 3
Al-Shoalah
14 Mar
Al-Shoalah
2 : 1
Al Ain
07 Mar
Afief
1 : 3
Al-Shoalah
Page 1 of 6

Al Najoom

(Away)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Al Najoom
1 : 0
Al Jeel
28 Mar
Al-Sadd
1 : 2
Al Najoom
14 Mar
Al Najoom
2 : 2
Al-Sahel
07 Mar
Al-Sharq
0 : 0
Al Najoom
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)