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Al-Shoalah vs Jerash

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al-Shoalah and Jerash finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Shoalah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al-Shoalah
30%
Draws
27%
Jerash
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Shoalah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jerash carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Al-Shoalah taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al-Shoalah Clean Sheet 20%
Jerash Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shoalah Jerash
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Division 2
Al-Shoalah vs Jerash
6:4
Nov 8, 2025 Division 2
Jerash vs Al-Shoalah
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shoalah 49 / 100
Jerash 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shoalah Jerash

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shoalah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerash's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Al-Shoalah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al-Shoalah found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Al-Shoalah VS Jerash
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shoalah

(Home)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Al Entesar
1 : 1
Al-Shoalah
28 Mar
Al-Washm
3 : 3
Al-Shoalah
14 Mar
Al-Shoalah
2 : 1
Al Ain
07 Mar
Afief
1 : 3
Al-Shoalah
Page 1 of 6

Jerash

(Away)
10 Apr
Jerash
3 : 3
Jubbah
04 Apr
Al-Sahel
2 : 1
Jerash
28 Mar
Jerash
2 : 1
Al-Sharq
14 Mar
Jerash
2 : 3
Al Jeel
07 Mar
Al-Sadd
1 : 2
Jerash
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)