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Al Shomooa vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shomooa host Al Ittihad in the Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Al Shomooa have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Al Ittihad's 1.7 scored and 0.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.63) back Al Ittihad to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Shomooa
30%
Draws
31%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shomooa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ittihad have won more games recently than Al Shomooa.
  • Model gives Al Shomooa a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Shomooa Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shomooa Al Ittihad
Matches Played 16 44
Wins 6 27
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad vs Al Shomooa
4:1
Jan 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Shomooa vs Al Ittihad
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shomooa 84 / 100
Al Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shomooa Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shomooa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shomooa found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Al Shomooa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 44 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shomooa VS Al Ittihad
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shomooa

(Home)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
20 Apr
Al Shomooa
2 : 0
Al Majd
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
11 Apr
Al Shomooa
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
16 Mar
Al Tirsana
3 : 1
Al Shomooa
Page 1 of 4

Al Ittihad

(Away)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Olympic Azzaweya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Madina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Ittihad Misurata 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Malaab El Libby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Majd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shabab Al Ghar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Watan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Assabah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Shomooa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Akhdar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hilal Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Darnes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sharara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Taawun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Sadaqa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wefaq Ajdabiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Afreeki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)