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Al Shorta vs Al Naft - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta host Al Naft in the Stars League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Shorta have averaged 1.47 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Al Naft's 1 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Shorta slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.94) back Al Shorta to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Shorta
35%
Draws
38%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Shorta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Naft
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 12 12
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Naft
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Shorta
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Naft
4:0
Oct 31, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Shorta
0:2
Jul 7, 2024 Iraq Cup
Al Shorta vs Al Naft
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 32 / 100
Al Naft 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Shorta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Naft's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Naft
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
27 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Hussein
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
13 Oct
East Bengal
2 : 3
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

Al Naft

(Away)
29 Oct
Al Naft
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
22 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Naft
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 12 8 3 1 19:9 27
2 Al Naft 12 7 4 1 14:5 25
3 Newroz 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
4 Al Shorta 11 5 5 1 12:5 20
5 Al Golan 12 5 5 2 16:12 20
6 Erbil 12 5 4 3 15:8 19
7 Al Zawraa 11 5 3 3 15:9 18
8 Al Minaa 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
9 Duhok 12 3 6 3 19:16 15
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 12 3 6 3 7:8 15
11 Al Talaba 12 3 6 3 13:16 15
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 12 2 7 3 14:13 13
13 Diyala 11 3 4 4 15:16 13
14 Zakho 11 3 3 5 9:15 12
15 Al Mosul 12 3 3 6 13:20 12
16 Al Gharraf 11 2 4 5 6:13 10
17 Al Karkh 11 2 3 6 14:19 9
18 Al Kahraba 12 1 5 6 7:14 8
19 Naft Missan 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
20 Karbala 12 1 4 7 11:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)