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Al Shorta vs Al Seeb

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Al-Shorta Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ali H.
Assist: Barco C.
62'
Sub
Al Khamisi A. In: Al Ajmi H.
Out: Al Khamisi A.
62'
Sub
Al Rawahi N. In: Alshukaili A.
Out: Al Rawahi N.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 game between Al Shorta and Al Seeb finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Shorta
30%
Draws
33%
Al Seeb
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Seeb's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Al Shorta have produced (1.64).
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Seeb Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Seeb
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.64 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Al Shorta vs Al Seeb
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Al Seeb Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 41 / 100
Al Seeb 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Seeb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Al Shorta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Seeb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Seeb
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
Page 1 of 7

Al Seeb

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
06 Sept
Al Seeb
2 : 0
Sur Club
30 Aug
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Seeb
25 Aug
Saham
0 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al-Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al-Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)