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Al Shorta vs Merreikh El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Al Shorta and Merreikh El-Fasher finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Shorta
28%
Draws
22%
Merreikh El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Merreikh El-Fasher haven't matched Al Shorta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Merreikh El-Fasher
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:1
Feb 20, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:1
Sep 19, 2020 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al Shorta
3:2
Nov 26, 2019 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:1
Jun 27, 2019 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 59 / 100
Merreikh El-Fasher 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Merreikh El-Fasher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Shorta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Merreikh El-Fasher lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224