Sport Picks

Iraq

Super League 2022/2023

Naft Missan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Sinaa play Naft Missan in the Super League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Sinaa averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Naft Missan averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Al Sinaa won 2, Naft Missan won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 6, 2023 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Al Sinaa and 0.86 for Naft Missan. This points to a Naft Missan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Al Sinaa

28%

Draws

44%

Naft Missan

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Al Sinaa picked up more points recently compared to Naft Missan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Al Sinaa Clean Sheet 25%

Naft Missan Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Sinaa	Naft Missan
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	5	8
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Stars League

Al Sinaa vs Naft Missan

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Dec 5, 2022 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Sinaa

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Feb 24, 2022 Stars League

Al Sinaa vs Naft Missan

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 15, 2021 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Sinaa

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

May 8, 2010 Stars League

Al Sinaa vs Naft Missan

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sinaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hesham A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gabar S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jabbar A. M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sinaa 30 / 100

Naft Missan 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Sinaa Naft Missan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naft Missan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Sinaa attacking → ← attacking Naft Missan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sinaa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Naft Missan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Sinaa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Naft Missan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Shorta	38	25	7	6	63:24	82
2	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	23	9	6	62:26	78
3	Al Zawraa	38	18	14	6	50:32	68
4	Al Talaba	38	19	9	10	52:39	66
5	Al Kahraba	38	17	11	10	51:38	62
6	Erbil	38	16	10	12	44:39	58
7	Al Najaf	38	15	11	12	46:41	56
8	Karbala	38	15	11	12	39:34	56
9	Duhok	38	12	16	10	37:39	52
10	Al Karkh	38	13	12	13	40:36	51
11	Newroz	38	14	9	15	45:43	51
12	Naft Missan	38	13	12	13	42:54	51
13	Al-Hudod	38	10	19	9	40:37	49
14	Naft Al-Basra	38	9	16	13	34:40	43
15	Zakho	38	9	15	14	39:42	42
16	Al Naft	38	9	13	16	39:50	40
17	Al-Qassim	38	9	12	17	31:43	39
18	Al Wasat	38	5	21	12	26:34	36
19	Al Sinaa	38	7	7	24	26:54	28
20	Al Diwaniya	38	2	6	30	25:86	12