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Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Al Taawon Arena, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Martinez Tobinson R. B.
61' Event
Antunes L.
Assist: Okou T.
67' Event
Martinez Tobinson R. B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Taawon
35%
Draws
52%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Riyadh have won more games recently than Al Taawon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 20%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taawon Al Riyadh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
1:3
May 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh
3:2
Jan 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
1:0
May 9, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Taawon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Antunes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taawon 32 / 100
Al Riyadh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taawon Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Taawon scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Al Riyadh let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Taawon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Taawon VS Al Riyadh
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taawon

(Home)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7

Al Riyadh

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)