Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Naft

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
41%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Talaba lately — more wins on the board than Al Naft.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Naft
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0
Mar 30, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
3:0
Apr 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 32 / 100
Al Naft 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Al Naft conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Al Talaba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Naft
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 7

Al Naft

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)