Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Najaf

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ridha F.
23' Event
Ndasi N. D.
44' Event
Oueslati H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Talaba and Al Najaf finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Talaba
22%
Draws
18%
Al Najaf
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Talaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Al Talaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Najaf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Najaf
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Talaba
1:0
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Talaba
2:0
Jan 4, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Najaf
2:1
May 8, 2024 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Talaba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndasi N. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oueslati H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Najaf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridha F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 68 / 100
Al Najaf 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Najaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Al Najaf has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Talaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Najaf
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Najaf

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)