Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al-Qassim

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Msuva S.
85' Event
Abdulzahra A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Talaba and Al-Qassim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Talaba
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Qassim
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Talaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Talaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al-Qassim
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 0
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Qassim
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Talaba
0:3
Jun 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Qassim
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Talaba
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Qassim
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Msuva S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulzahra A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al-Qassim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 85 / 100
Al-Qassim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al-Qassim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al-Qassim conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Talaba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al-Qassim
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al-Qassim

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5
Naft Missan
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1
Al-Qassim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)