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Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba host Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Al Talaba have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Al Talaba have won 0 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
35%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won more games recently than Al Talaba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 19%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Talaba
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Talaba
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 32 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Talaba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)