Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Abdulkareem H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Talaba and Al Zawraa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Talaba
20%
Draws
38%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Zawraa have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Al Talaba are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Al Talaba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Zawraa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 16%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Zawraa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba
1:0
May 14, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkareem H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 41 / 100
Al Zawraa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Talaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Al Zawraa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Zawraa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Al Minaa
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)