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Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba host Ghaz Al Shamal in the Stars League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ghaz Al Shamal have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while Al Talaba have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.29. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.81) point toward Al Talaba. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
32%
Ghaz Al Shamal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ghaz Al Shamal haven't matched Al Talaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Talaba's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Ghaz Al Shamal
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 9 3
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.29 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 42 / 100
Ghaz Al Shamal 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Ghaz Al Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Talaba scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Al Talaba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ghaz Al Shamal let in goals in 55% of their last 11 matches.

Difficult form: Ghaz Al Shamal registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Ghaz Al Shamal
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Away)
25 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Naft Missan
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 11 7 3 1 18:9 24
2 Newroz 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
3 Al Naft 11 6 4 1 13:5 22
4 Al Shorta 11 5 5 1 12:5 20
5 Erbil 11 5 3 3 14:7 18
6 Al Zawraa 11 5 3 3 15:9 18
7 Al Golan 11 4 5 2 12:10 17
8 Duhok 11 3 6 2 19:15 15
9 Al Minaa 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 11 3 5 3 6:7 14
11 Al Talaba 11 3 5 3 11:14 14
12 Diyala 11 3 4 4 15:16 13
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 11 2 6 3 14:13 12
14 Al Mosul 11 3 3 5 11:16 12
15 Zakho 11 3 3 5 9:15 12
16 Al Gharraf 11 2 4 5 6:13 10
17 Al Karkh 11 2 3 6 14:19 9
18 Al Kahraba 11 1 5 5 7:13 8
19 Naft Missan 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
20 Karbala 11 1 3 7 9:22 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)