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Al Taliya vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Taliya host Homs Al Fidaa in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Al Taliya have averaged 0.97 scored and 0.77 conceded recently, against Homs Al Fidaa's 1.84 scored and 0.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Homs Al Fidaa slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 1.06, favoring Homs Al Fidaa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Taliya
20%
Draws
45%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Homs Al Fidaa come out ahead of Al Taliya on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 20%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taliya Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 22
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 0.97 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Taliya
1:0
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Taliya
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Taliya
0:0
Sep 22, 2023 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taliya 32 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taliya Homs Al Fidaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taliya scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Al Taliya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Homs Al Fidaa conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Taliya VS Homs Al Fidaa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taliya

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Taliya
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
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Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)