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Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Taqadom and Al-Mergheni finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Taqadom
30%
Draws
34%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Taqadom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Mergheni come out ahead of Al Taqadom on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Taqadom taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Taqadom Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taqadom Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 14
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taqadom 36 / 100
Al-Mergheni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taqadom Al-Mergheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Taqadom scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Defensive concern: Al-Mergheni conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Al Taqadom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Taqadom VS Al-Mergheni
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010