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Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni Prediction & H2H Stats

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Taqadom and Al-Mergheni finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Taqadom
35%
Draws
37%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Mergheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Mergheni come out ahead of Al Taqadom on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Taqadom taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Taqadom Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taqadom Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 14
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Taqadom vs Al-Mergheni
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Taqadom
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taqadom 36 / 100
Al-Mergheni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taqadom Al-Mergheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Taqadom scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Defensive concern: Al-Mergheni conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Al Taqadom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Taqadom VS Al-Mergheni
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taqadom

(Home)
15 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
4 : 1
Al Taqadom
10 Feb
Kober
1 : 0
Al Taqadom
07 Feb
Al Shorta
2 : 2
Al Taqadom
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
29 Jan
Al Taqadom
0 : 0
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 2

Al-Mergheni

(Away)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al-Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al-Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)