Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Tilal vs Al Ahli Taizz

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2013/2014 May 22 Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Tilal play Al Ahli Taizz in the Division 1 2013/2014. Al Ahli Taizz are favorites here. Recently, Al-Tilal averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Al Ahli Taizz averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Tilal won 4, Al Ahli Taizz won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2014 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Tilal and 1.00 for Al Ahli Taizz. This points to a Al Ahli Taizz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Al-Tilal
25%
Draws
60%
Al Ahli Taizz
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al Ahli Taizz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Tilal picked up more points recently compared to Al Ahli Taizz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Al-Tilal Clean Sheet 23%
Al Ahli Taizz Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Tilal Al Ahli Taizz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.43 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2014 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Al Ahli Taizz
3:1
Feb 14, 2014 Division 1
Al Ahli Taizz vs Al-Tilal
0:1
Jun 15, 2012 Division 1
Al Ahli Taizz vs Al-Tilal
0:1
Feb 25, 2012 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Al Ahli Taizz
2:0
Jul 23, 2011 Division 1
Al Ahli Taizz vs Al-Tilal
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Tilal 18 / 100
Al Ahli Taizz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Tilal Al Ahli Taizz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Taizz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Ahli Taizz & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Tilal attacking → ← attacking Al Ahli Taizz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Tilal scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Al Ahli Taizz let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al-Tilal went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli Taizz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 17
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Saqr26205150:1465
2Al Ahli26174545:2555
3Al-Tilal26127741:2443
4Al-Ittihad26119632:3042
5Al Oruba261010622:1540
6Al Yarmuk26107938:2937
7Shabab Al Jeel26910731:2737
8Al Shabab Hadramaut26971036:3334
9Al Hilal26810828:3534
10Al-Shaab Ibb26961129:3033
11Al Shaab Sana26581315:3523
12Al Rasheed26481416:3620
13Al Ahli Taizz26381518:3617
14May 2226351822:5414