Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League

Ittihad Gharyan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Tirsana play Ittihad Gharyan in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Tirsana averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Ittihad Gharyan averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Al Tirsana won 0, Ittihad Gharyan won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Al Tirsana and 1.06 for Ittihad Gharyan. This points to a Al Tirsana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Al Tirsana

32%

Draws

29%

Ittihad Gharyan

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Al Tirsana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Al Tirsana picked up more points recently compared to Ittihad Gharyan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 22%

Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Tirsana	Ittihad Gharyan
Matches Played	30	16
Wins	7	2
Draws	12	4
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.27	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.56
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League

Ittihad Gharyan vs Al Tirsana

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Dec 26, 2025 Premier League

Al Tirsana vs Ittihad Gharyan

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Tirsana 40 / 100

Ittihad Gharyan 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Tirsana Ittihad Gharyan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Tirsana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Tirsana attacking → ← attacking Ittihad Gharyan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Tirsana scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Ittihad Gharyan let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al Tirsana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ittihad Gharyan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 10

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0