Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Ula vs Al Raed

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Gano Z.
41' Event
Koulouris E.
(Penalty)
44'
Bouzok Y.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al-Ula and Al Raed finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Al-Ula
15%
Draws
18%
Al Raed
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Al Raed haven't matched Al-Ula's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ula taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Ula here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 20%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ula Al Raed
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.84 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Raed
2:0
May 2, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Raed
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Al-Ula
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Raed Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ula 85 / 100
Al Raed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ula Al Raed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Raed has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Solid form: Al-Ula remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al-Ula found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Al-Ula VS Al Raed
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ula

(Home)
14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al-Ula
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
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Al Raed

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3
Hajer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)