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Al-Ula W vs Al Nassr W

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Premier League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nassr W in this Premier League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nassr W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Ula W
6%
Draws
90%
Al Nassr W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Nassr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Nassr W have won more games recently than Al-Ula W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Nassr W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Nassr W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al-Ula W Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nassr W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ula W Al Nassr W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 29
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.38 3.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al-Ula W
5:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League Women
Al-Ula W vs Al Nassr W
2:5
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League Women
Al-Ula W vs Al Nassr W
0:4
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al-Ula W
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ula W 10 / 100
Al Nassr W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ula W Al Nassr W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Al-Ula W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Nassr W let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Al-Ula W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ula W VS Al Nassr W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr W14130155:1239
2Al Ahli SC W1483346:2727
3Al Ittihad W1482424:2126
4Al Qadisiya W1472555:2523
5Al Hilal W1472531:2723
6Al-Ula W1442816:4114
7Neom SC W1413109:356
8Eastern Flames W14101311:593