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Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Al-Waab Logo

Al-Waab

1 - 1
FT
Al Markhiya Logo

Al Markhiya

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Sassi Z.
70' Event
Lucao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al-Waab
20%
Draws
42%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Waab haven't matched Al Markhiya's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Waab Al Markhiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
1:3
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Waab
3:3
Apr 9, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Waab
0:2
Dec 5, 2024 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassi Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Waab 32 / 100
Al Markhiya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Waab Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Waab's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al-Waab went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Markhiya has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Waab VS Al Markhiya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Waab

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 2
Al-Waab
25 Aug
Al-Waab
1 : 0
Al Rayyan 2
30 Jul
Kazma SC
2 : 2
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

Al Markhiya

(Away)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)