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Al Wahda vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Alvarez G.
45'
Ghorbani M.
46'
Sub
Ghandipour R. In: Diarra B.
Out: Ghandipour R.

AI Match Summary

Al Wahda in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Wahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Wahda
15%
Draws
36%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wahda have won more games recently than Ajman.
  • Win probability leans Al Wahda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 11%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wahda Ajman
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Ajman
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Ajman
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 League Cup
Ajman vs Al Wahda
2:4
Aug 31, 2025 League Cup
Al Wahda vs Ajman
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Wahda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Canedo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khribin O. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ajman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wahda 56 / 100
Ajman 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wahda Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Wahda found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Recent resilience: Al Wahda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Wahda VS Ajman
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wahda

(Home)
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
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Ajman

(Away)
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
14 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 3
Ajman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)