Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wahda vs Al Ain

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Hamad A.
45' Event
Laba K.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Ben Khaleq Y. In: Sut A.
Out: Ben Khaleq Y.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Al Wahda and Al Ain finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Wahda
15%
Draws
39%
Al Ain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wahda haven't matched Al Ain's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wahda Al Ain
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 League Cup
Al Ain vs Al Wahda
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Ain
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 UAE League
Al Ain vs Al Wahda
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Ain
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 UAE League
Al Ain vs Al Wahda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wahda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wahda 36 / 100
Al Ain 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wahda Al Ain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wahda's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Wahda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Ain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wahda VS Al Ain
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wahda

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

Al Ain

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)