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Al Wahda vs Homs Al Fidaa

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Wahda play Homs Al Fidaa in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Wahda averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Homs Al Fidaa averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. In past meetings, Al Wahda won 2, Homs Al Fidaa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Al Wahda and 1.13 for Homs Al Fidaa. This points to a Homs Al Fidaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Wahda
16%
Draws
44%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wahda picked up more points recently compared to Homs Al Fidaa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 21%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wahda Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 22
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Wahda
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:0
Mar 22, 2024 Syria Cup
Al Wahda vs Homs Al Fidaa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gharir Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wahda 40 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wahda Homs Al Fidaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Homs Al Fidaa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Wahda attacking → ← attacking Homs Al Fidaa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wahda scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Homs Al Fidaa let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Wahda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Homs Al Fidaa lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 72
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117