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Al Wakra vs AD Ceuta

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
40' Event
Almenara G.
52' Event
Hernandez C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Al Wakra and AD Ceuta finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Wakra
15%
Draws
51%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta come out ahead of Al Wakra on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 15%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Al Wakra vs AD Ceuta
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AD Ceuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Almenara G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 35 / 100
AD Ceuta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Wakra's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AD Ceuta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS AD Ceuta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
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