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Al Wakra vs Al Ahli

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
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Match Events

20' Event
Reyed A.
31'
Sub
Draxler J. In: Yansane S.
Out: Draxler J.
34'
Mansour H.

AI Match Summary

Al Wakra in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Wakra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Wakra
30%
Draws
31%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Wakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Ahli
3:2
Nov 11, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Wakra
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Wakra
5:3
Jan 11, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Wakra
6:3
Nov 15, 2024 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Ahli
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Assal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Mendes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyed A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yansane S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 30 / 100
Al Ahli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wakra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Al Wakra found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Wakra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al Ahli
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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Al Ahli

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1
Al Ahli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)