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Al Wakra vs Al-Sadd

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pedro Miguel
Assist: Salman T.
45'
Camara M.
45' Event
Roberto Firmino
Assist: Henrique G.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Wakra and Al-Sadd finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Al Wakra
20%
Draws
69%
Al-Sadd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Al-Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Sadd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Sadd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al-Sadd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.47 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Sadd
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Wakra
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Wakra
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Sadd
0:3
May 13, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Sadd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouhzouh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Miguel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberto Firmino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 10 / 100
Al-Sadd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al-Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Sadd conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Al Wakra's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Wakra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al-Sadd
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Al-Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)