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Al Wakra vs Al Sailiya

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Calione P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Wakra
20%
Draws
0%
Al Sailiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Wakra have won more games recently than Al Sailiya.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al Wakra taking it.
  • Al Wakra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Wakra, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Wakra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 18%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al Sailiya
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Sailiya
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Sailiya
3:1
Feb 12, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Sailiya
2:0
Dec 28, 2025 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Wakra
0:0
May 8, 2023 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Wakra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Calione P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Al Sailiya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 67 / 100
Al Sailiya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al Sailiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wakra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sailiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Al Sailiya has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Wakra scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al Sailiya
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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Al Sailiya

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
22 Aug
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Sailiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Al-Duhail 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Muaither SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Umm-Salal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Wakra 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al-Shahaniya 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Lusail 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Al-Waab 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Al Rayyan 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Qatar SC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Al-Gharafa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Sailiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Al Ahli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Al Markhiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al-Kharitiyath 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Al Mesaimeer 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Al Khor 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Al Bidda 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)