Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wakra vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Khoder M.
37'
Erfan N.
46'
Assal A.

AI Match Summary

Shamal in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shamal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Wakra
28%
Draws
22%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Wakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shamal lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Wakra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 12%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Shamal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:3
Nov 11, 2024 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Prim P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 47 / 100
Shamal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wakra found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Shamal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Shamal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Shamal
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Shamal

(Away)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)