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Al Wakra vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Khoder M.
37'
Irfan N.
46'
Assal A.

AI Match Summary

Shamal in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shamal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Wakra
35%
Draws
40%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shamal lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shamal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Shamal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:1
Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Prim P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 10 / 100
Shamal 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wakra found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Shamal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Wakra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Shamal
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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Shamal

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)