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Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Zabeel Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Maxso A.
Own Goal
17'
Sub
Mohammed A. In: Rashid S.
Out: Mohammed A.
20' Event
Spadacio L.
Assist: Carlos Alberto

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Al Wasl and Ittihad Kalba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wasl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Wasl
15%
Draws
39%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wasl come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
  • Al Wasl are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wasl Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
0:3
May 15, 2026 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja Hernandez M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Spadacio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasl 85 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wasl Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wasl found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Ittihad Kalba has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Wasl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wasl VS Ittihad Kalba
3 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wasl

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3
Al Wasl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)