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Al Wasl vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Prediction & H2H Stats

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Zabeel Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Adil S. In: Cartabia F.
Out: Adil S.
48' Event
Andrade S.
Assist: Sidibe S.
59'
Sousa P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Wasl
30%
Draws
37%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai haven't matched Al Wasl's recent run of results.
  • Al Wasl are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 68%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wasl Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Feb 25, 2026 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Wasl
3:1
May 3, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Wasl vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasl 50 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wasl Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wasl's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Al Wasl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wasl VS Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wasl

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Away)
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3
Al Jazira
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)