Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assabah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Assabah haven't matched Al Watan's recent run of results.
- Al Watan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 20%
Assabah Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Watan | Assabah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 18 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al Watan
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Assabah
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Watan 40 / 100
Assabah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Watan Assabah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Watan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Watan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Assabah conceded in 56% of 18 recent games.
H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.
Al Watan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Watan VS Assabah
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Watan
(Home) 23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
09 Mar
Al Watan
1 : 0 Al Dahra
26 Feb
Al Watan
0 : 0 Al Malaab El Libby
Page 1 of 3
Assabah
(Away) 23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0 Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3 Asswehly
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2 Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0 Abu Salim
Page 1 of 4
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0 Assabah
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2 Assabah
09 Mar
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0 Assabah
20 Feb
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 2 Assabah
07 Feb
Al Madina
0 : 1 Assabah
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
