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Al Watan vs Asswehly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Watan host Asswehly in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Asswehly have shipped 0.53 goals a game lately, while Al Watan have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Al Watan slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.54 xG vs 1.51) point toward Asswehly. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Watan
15%
Draws
58%
Asswehly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Asswehly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Asswehly's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 15%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Watan Asswehly
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 9 31
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.97 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Watan
0:1
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Watan vs Asswehly
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Watan 15 / 100
Asswehly 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Watan Asswehly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Al Watan's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Asswehly let in goals in 44% of their last 43 matches.

Al Watan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Watan VS Asswehly
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Watan

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Watan
0 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
13 Oct
Al Madina
2 : 0
Al Watan
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1
Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al Khmes
Page 1 of 6

Asswehly

(Away)
18 Oct
Asswehly
1 : 0
Esperance Tunis
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Al Madina 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Olympic Azzaweya 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Al Bashaer 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Al Ittihad Misurata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Al Malaab El Libby 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
7 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Assabah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
10 Al Majd 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Al Shomooa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Khmes 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
13 Shabab Al Ghar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Al Watan 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Darnes 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Military Union 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Al Afreeki 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
5 Al Hilal Benghazi 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
6 Al Taawun 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
7 Al Nasr 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Batnan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Akhdar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Sadaqa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Wefaq Ajdabiya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Al Tahaddi 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Al Sharara 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Al Jadida 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)