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Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Rise FC W host Calgary Wild FC W in the NSL Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Calgary Wild FC W have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Vancouver Rise FC W have conceded 2.36 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Calgary Wild FC W slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.69, favoring Vancouver Rise FC W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vancouver Rise FC W
20%
Draws
57%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calgary Wild FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Rise FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 13%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Rise FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.36 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
3:1
Aug 29, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:2
Aug 8, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:3
Jul 11, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 31 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Rise FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calgary Wild FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calgary Wild FC W let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Vancouver Rise FC W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Vancouver Rise FC W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Rise FC W

(Home)
18 Oct
Ottawa Rapid FC W
5 : 2
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
Page 1 of 6

Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
18 Oct
AFC Toronto W
0 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 24 11 9 4 42:27 42
2 Ottawa Rapid FC W 23 12 3 8 47:41 39
3 AFC Toronto W 23 10 7 6 36:22 37
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 23 8 3 12 43:52 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 23 7 6 10 21:21 27
6 Calgary Wild FC W 24 5 6 13 26:52 21
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)