Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wehda vs Al Adalah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 King Abdul Aziz Stadium, Mecca
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Johnsen B.
36'
Al Taleb F.
38' Event
Makeen A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al Wehda and Al Adalah finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wehda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Wehda
35%
Draws
35%
Al Adalah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wehda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 18%
Al Adalah Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Al Adalah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Division 1
Al Wehda vs Al Adalah
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Division 1
Al Wehda vs Al Adalah
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Wehda
1:4
May 8, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Adalah vs Al Wehda
1:2
Dec 30, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Wehda vs Al Adalah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wehda Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makeen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Adalah Compare

Top Goalscorer Qarradi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 31 / 100
Al Adalah 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Al Adalah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wehda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Adalah let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Al Wehda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Wehda found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Wehda VS Al Adalah
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wehda

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
26 Aug
Al Zulfi
0 : 0
Al Wehda
21 Aug
Al Wehda
1 : 1
Al Adalah
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Al Adalah

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 0
Al Jandal
07 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 1
Al Saqer
31 Aug
Al Bukiryah
0 : 1
Al Adalah
26 Aug
Al Adalah
3 : 4
Al Taee
21 Aug
Al Wehda
1 : 1
Al Adalah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)