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Al Wehda vs Al Ahly Tripoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Al Wehda
20%
Draws
74%
Al Ahly Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Al Ahly Tripoli have won more games recently than Al Wehda.
  • Model gives Al Ahly Tripoli a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ahly Tripoli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Al Ahly Tripoli
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 24
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 0.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
2:0
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2
Apr 3, 2019 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
3:1
Apr 21, 2018 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Nov 1, 2017 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 10 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Al Ahly Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Al Wehda scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Ahly Tripoli conceded in 34% of 32 recent games.

Al Wehda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wehda

(Home)
27 Jul
Al Mahalla Tripoli
4 : 1
Al Wehda
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Al-Khmes
1 : 0
Al Wehda
14 Jul
Al Wehda
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Al Wehda
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Al Ahly Tripoli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 22 17 2 3 38:13 53
2 Al Akhdar 22 17 1 4 40:14 52
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 22 16 4 2 36:13 52
4 Al Nasr 22 15 4 3 31:13 49
5 Khaleej Sirte 22 10 5 7 22:19 35
6 Al Sadaqa 22 6 5 11 20:26 23
7 Al Tahaddi 22 6 4 12 14:21 22
8 Darnes 22 4 9 9 20:28 21
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 22 3 9 10 23:33 18
10 Al Taawun 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
11 Al-Anwar 22 2 7 13 22:49 13
12 Ngom Ajdabiya 22 2 5 15 12:36 11
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 22 15 6 1 26:6 51
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 22 14 7 1 29:7 49
3 Olympic Azzaweya 22 9 6 7 22:19 33
4 Al Ittihad Misurata 22 9 5 8 26:25 32
5 Abu Salim 22 9 3 10 23:26 30
6 Asswehly 22 7 9 6 15:15 28
7 Al Mahalla Tripoli 22 5 11 6 21:23 26
8 Al Madina 22 6 7 9 21:17 25
9 Al-Khmes 22 5 8 9 21:28 23
10 Al Shat 22 6 4 12 17:25 22
11 Rafeeq 22 5 6 11 21:34 21
12 Al Wehda 22 4 4 14 14:31 16
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)