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Al Wehda vs Rafeeq

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Al Wehda and Rafeeq finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rafeeq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Al Wehda
20%
Draws
70%
Rafeeq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rafeeq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wehda come out ahead of Rafeeq on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 20%
Rafeeq Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Rafeeq
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2021 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Rafeeq
1:2
May 11, 2021 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Wehda
3:2
Feb 12, 2019 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Wehda
0:1
Feb 20, 2018 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Rafeeq
2:0
Aug 29, 2017 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Wehda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 32 / 100
Rafeeq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Rafeeq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rafeeq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rafeeq has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al Wehda's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Al Wehda remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wehda VS Rafeeq
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wehda

(Home)
27 Jul
Al Mahalla Tripoli
4 : 1
Al Wehda
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Al-Khmes
1 : 0
Al Wehda
14 Jul
Al Wehda
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Al Wehda
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Rafeeq

(Away)
26 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Rafeeq
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Rafeeq
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Jul
Rafeeq
2 : 1
Al Madina
11 Jul
Asswehly
2 : 1
Rafeeq
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 22 17 2 3 38:13 53
2 Al Akhdar 22 17 1 4 40:14 52
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 22 16 4 2 36:13 52
4 Al Nasr 22 15 4 3 31:13 49
5 Khaleej Sirte 22 10 5 7 22:19 35
6 Al Sadaqa 22 6 5 11 20:26 23
7 Al Tahaddi 22 6 4 12 14:21 22
8 Darnes 22 4 9 9 20:28 21
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 22 3 9 10 23:33 18
10 Al Taawun 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
11 Al-Anwar 22 2 7 13 22:49 13
12 Ngom Ajdabiya 22 2 5 15 12:36 11
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 22 15 6 1 26:6 51
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 22 14 7 1 29:7 49
3 Olympic Azzaweya 22 9 6 7 22:19 33
4 Al Ittihad Misurata 22 9 5 8 26:25 32
5 Abu Salim 22 9 3 10 23:26 30
6 Asswehly 22 7 9 6 15:15 28
7 Al Mahalla Tripoli 22 5 11 6 21:23 26
8 Al Madina 22 6 7 9 21:17 25
9 Al-Khmes 22 5 8 9 21:28 23
10 Al Shat 22 6 4 12 17:25 22
11 Rafeeq 22 5 6 11 21:34 21
12 Al Wehda 22 4 4 14 14:31 16
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)