Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Yarmuk vs Al-Saqr

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk play Al-Saqr in the Division 1 2021. Al Yarmuk are favorites here. Recently, Al Yarmuk averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Al-Saqr averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Al Yarmuk won 0, Al-Saqr won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 30, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Yarmuk and 1.00 for Al-Saqr. This points to a Al Yarmuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Yarmuk
25%
Draws
15%
Al-Saqr
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Yarmuk picked up more points recently compared to Al-Saqr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Saqr Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Al-Saqr
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Yarmuk
2:1
Oct 3, 2021 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al-Saqr
0:0
Feb 5, 2015 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Yarmuk
0:0
Oct 18, 2014 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al-Saqr
1:1
May 23, 2014 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Yarmuk
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 59 / 100
Al-Saqr 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Al-Saqr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Yarmuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al Yarmuk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Yarmuk attacking → ← attacking Al-Saqr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Yarmuk scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Al-Saqr let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Al Yarmuk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Saqr lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 26
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Wahda1062214:820
2Fhman1043316:1215
3Al Shabab Hadramaut103618:515
4Al Oruba1033413:1512
5Al-Ittihad102538:1011
6Shabab Al Jeel100557:165
7Al-Tilal00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahli851210:416
2Al-Saqr83238:811
3Al Helal Al Sahely83238:911
4Al Yarmuk82338:129
5Al-Shaab Ibb82248:98
6Al-Wahda Aden00000:00
7Al Shula00000:00