Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Al Zawraa

1 - 0

Al Kahraba

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Riascos B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Al Zawraa

30%

Draws

34%

Al Kahraba

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Al Kahraba.
Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Al Zawraa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%

Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Zawraa	Al Kahraba
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	10
Draws	10	3
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Jan 1, 2026 Stars League

Al Kahraba vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Mar 3, 2025 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Jan 10, 2025 Stars League

Al Kahraba vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Apr 4, 2024 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Kahraba

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 36 / 100

Al Kahraba 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Zawraa Al Kahraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Kahraba conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Al Zawraa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Kahraba

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6