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Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa host Al Talaba in the Stars League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Talaba have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Al Zawraa have conceded 0.84 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Al Zawraa have won 4 to Al Talaba's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Al Zawraa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Zawraa
35%
Draws
45%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Zawraa come out ahead of Al Talaba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Talaba's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Zawraa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Talaba
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 14
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba
1:0
May 14, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 20 / 100
Al Talaba 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Talaba has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Zawraa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Talaba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Zawraa
0 : 3
Al Golan
03 Nov
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al Riffa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
28 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Nasr
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

Al Talaba

(Away)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)