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Al Zawraa vs Diyala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ahmed H.
Assist: Abdulkareem H.
21' Event
Cabrera M.
Assist: Ahmed H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Zawraa and Diyala finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
39%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diyala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Zawraa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%
Diyala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Diyala
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Diyala
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Diyala
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Zawraa
1:1
May 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Diyala
1:0
Jan 23, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Zawraa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Diyala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 42 / 100
Diyala 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Diyala let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Diyala
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
03 Nov
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al Riffa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
28 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Nasr
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 7

Diyala

(Away)
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)