Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Al Zawraa

1 - 1

Naft Missan

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Riascos B.

42'

Nasib A.

44'

Saad A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Zawraa and Naft Missan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Al Zawraa

33%

Draws

40%

Naft Missan

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Al Zawraa carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Naft Missan taking it.
Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 17%

Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Zawraa	Naft Missan
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	10
Draws	11	8
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup

Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Mar 13, 2026 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Jan 9, 2026 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

May 13, 2025 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jan 28, 2025 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Riascos B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Saad A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 28 / 100

Naft Missan 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Zawraa Naft Missan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Zawraa scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Naft Missan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Zawraa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Naft Missan

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6