Sport Picks

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Al Zoma vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Zoma in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zoma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Zoma
33%
Draws
27%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Zoma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe average 0.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Zoma's 0.
  • Al Zoma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Al Zoma Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zoma Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 4 4
Draws 10 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Zoma
0:0
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
Al Zoma vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Zoma
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zoma 40 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zoma Al-Ahly Merowe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ahly Merowe conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Al Zoma's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Zoma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Zoma VS Al-Ahly Merowe
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zoma

(Home)
12 Apr
Al Zoma
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
08 Apr
Al Zoma
0 : 2
Hay al-Arab
05 Apr
Al Zoma
0 : 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman
02 Apr
Al Zoma
2 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
28 Mar
Al Zoma
1 : 2
Ahli Shendi
Page 1 of 5

Al-Ahly Merowe

(Away)
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2
Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)