Sport Picks
Alacranes de Durango vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango 
AI Match Summary
Alacranes de Durango host Club Atletico Morelia in the Liga de Expansion MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alacranes de Durango have averaged 1.61 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Club Atletico Morelia's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Alacranes de Durango have won 0 to Club Atletico Morelia's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.13) back Alacranes de Durango to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Alacranes de Durango at 1.61 per game, Club Atletico Morelia at 1.5.
- Model gives Alacranes de Durango a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alacranes de Durango | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alacranes de Durango found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Club Atletico Morelia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Alacranes de Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alacranes de Durango
(Home)Club Atletico Morelia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33:18 | 27 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 24 |
| 6 | Cancun | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27:27 | 19 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | 19 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | 7 |
