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Alacranes de Durango vs Deportiva Venados Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango
Alacranes de Durango Logo

Alacranes de Durango

0 - 0
FT
Deportiva Venados Logo

Deportiva Venados

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alacranes de Durango
35%
Draws
28%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alacranes de Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alacranes de Durango come out ahead of Deportiva Venados on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Alacranes de Durango have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 16%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alacranes de Durango Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.52 2.28
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alacranes de Durango 30 / 100
Deportiva Venados 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alacranes de Durango Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alacranes de Durango scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Deportiva Venados let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Alacranes de Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alacranes de Durango VS Deportiva Venados
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alacranes de Durango

(Home)
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 7

Deportiva Venados

(Away)
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2