Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Francisco Zarco

Deportiva Venados

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alacranes de Durango play Deportiva Venados in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alacranes de Durango averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Deportiva Venados averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Alacranes de Durango won 0, Deportiva Venados won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Alacranes de Durango and 1.25 for Deportiva Venados. This points to a Alacranes de Durango double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Alacranes de Durango

21%

Draws

39%

Deportiva Venados

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Alacranes de Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Alacranes de Durango picked up more points recently compared to Deportiva Venados.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 19%

Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alacranes de Durango	Deportiva Venados
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	20	20
Draws	6	7
Losses	4	5
Goals Scored	2.27	2.31
Goals Conceded	0.67	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Alacranes de Durango vs Deportiva Venados

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

May 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alacranes de Durango 40 / 100

Deportiva Venados 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alacranes de Durango Deportiva Venados

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alacranes de Durango or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alacranes de Durango attacking → ← attacking Deportiva Venados

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alacranes de Durango scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Deportiva Venados let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Alacranes de Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportiva Venados lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 67

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50