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Alagoinhas U20 vs Porto-BA U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2025
Sat, Jul 12, 2025
3 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas U20 in this Baiano U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alagoinhas U20
6%
Draws
4%
Porto-BA U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alagoinhas U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto-BA U20 have won more games recently than Alagoinhas U20.
  • Alagoinhas U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alagoinhas U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Porto-BA U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas U20 Porto-BA U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Baiano U20
Alagoinhas U20 vs Porto-BA U20
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Alagoinhas U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas U20 85 / 100
Porto-BA U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas U20 Porto-BA U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto-BA U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Alagoinhas U20 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alagoinhas U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas U20 VS Porto-BA U20
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Feirense U201
Estrela De Marco U202
Leonico U201
Grapiuna U200
Conquista FC U201
Fluminense de Feira U204
Ypiranga U203
Vitoria U201
SSA U201
Barcelona FC U204
Porto-BA U202
Alagoinhas U203
Jequie U202
Bahia U204
Jacuipense U206
Galicia U203
Quarter-finals
Estrela De Marco U206
Leonico U201
Fluminense de Feira U202
Ypiranga U203
Barcelona FC U203
Alagoinhas U204
Bahia U203
Jacuipense U201
Semi-finals
Estrela De Marco U202
Ypiranga U201
Alagoinhas U201
Bahia U204
Final
Estrela De Marco U200
Bahia U206