Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2014

CE Flamengo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas play CE Flamengo in the Baiano 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alagoinhas averaged 0.55 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. CE Flamengo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Alagoinhas won 0, CE Flamengo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Alagoinhas and 1.38 for CE Flamengo. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Alagoinhas

25%

Draws

53%

CE Flamengo

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Alagoinhas picked up more points recently compared to CE Flamengo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%

CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alagoinhas	CE Flamengo
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	3	9
Draws	8	8
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	0.55	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2015 Baiano 2

Alagoinhas vs CE Flamengo

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 30, 2014 Baiano 2

Alagoinhas vs CE Flamengo

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 23 / 100

CE Flamengo 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alagoinhas CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Flamengo Win (2)

Secondary Pick CE Flamengo & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alagoinhas attacking → ← attacking CE Flamengo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alagoinhas scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

CE Flamengo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alagoinhas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CE Flamengo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 35

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	9	7	2	0	19:1	23
2	Jacobina	9	6	2	1	15:4	20
3	CE Flamengo	9	6	2	1	22:12	20
4	Alagoinhas	9	5	1	3	18:12	16
5	Itabuna	9	4	0	5	13:11	12
6	Fluminense de Feira	9	3	3	3	8:10	12
7	EC Ypiranga	9	3	2	4	14:12	11
8	Jequie	9	3	2	4	12:13	11
9	Leonico	9	0	1	8	7:22	1
10	Ipitanga	9	0	1	8	4:35	1