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Alaior vs Platges de Calvia Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaior in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alaior
20%
Draws
60%
Platges de Calvia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Platges de Calvia lately — more wins on the board than Alaior.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Alaior Clean Sheet 20%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior Platges de Calvia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Platges de Calvia
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Alaior
2:0
Mar 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Platges de Calvia
2:1
Oct 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Alaior
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 32 / 100
Platges de Calvia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior Platges de Calvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platges de Calvia has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Platges de Calvia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alaior found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Platges de Calvia
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
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Platges de Calvia

(Away)
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)