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Alaior vs Son Ferrer

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Alaior Logo

Alaior

1 - 2
FT
Son Ferrer Logo

Son Ferrer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Son Ferrer in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Son Ferrer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alaior
20%
Draws
0%
Son Ferrer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alaior have won more games recently than Son Ferrer.
  • Alaior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alaior Clean Sheet 12%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior Son Ferrer
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 0.77 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Son Ferrer
1:2
Oct 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alaior
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 83 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior Son Ferrer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Son Ferrer let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Son Ferrer registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Alaior found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Alaior VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
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Son Ferrer

(Away)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)