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Alajuelense vs Escorpiones

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Borges C.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Perez C. In: Anor J.
Out: Perez C.
46'
Sub
Wilson R. In: Michel K.
Out: Wilson R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alajuelense and Escorpiones finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alajuelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alajuelense
15%
Draws
0%
Escorpiones
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Escorpiones haven't matched Alajuelense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 20%
Escorpiones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Escorpiones
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Escorpiones
2:1
Sep 5, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Alajuelense vs Escorpiones
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gamboa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Escorpiones Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 85 / 100
Escorpiones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Escorpiones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alajuelense scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Escorpiones lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Escorpiones conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Escorpiones
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

Escorpiones

(Away)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)